The following is a re-print of a blog
posting we wrote on SeedStageCapital.com.
It is our commentary on a debate about whether very
simple web startups need to form a business strategy
and draft an actual business plan. While there are valid
arguments on both sides, startups seeking external funding
still need to communicate their idea (and its economics)
in a clear and convincing manner.
We can help. For Web 2.0 startups, we often put
together a simple package that includes an Investor
Pitch Deck, an Executive
Summary and a basic Financial
Model.
Occasionally, we incubate startup ideas or play
an interim operating role (typically on the business
development or financing
side). Contact
us for more details.
Article Reprint: "The Business Plan Is Dead; Long
Live The Business Plan!"
Recently, there has been some heated debate in the
web startup world about whether developing a business
plan is really necessary. The main arguments are that:
a) VCs don’t read them; and, b) a founder’s
time is better spent writing code.
Optional if Your "Business" is Really
a "Project"
For many firms in the Web 2.0 space, I would agree—to
a point. If you are able to code a web site or develop
an iPhone app or Facebook widget over a long weekend,
it is very efficient to just throw it out to the universe
and see if it sticks. In short, many web startups are
more akin to a project than an actual business, and
given the minimal amount of time and expense it takes
to develop such concepts, it makes more sense to try
out a lot of different experiments, vs. planning out
a solid strategy.
I'll use Guy Kawasaki as an example of this approach.
He famously launched Truemors.com for about $12k in
development costs, and at a recent NewTech Meetup, he
claimed his latest project, AllTop.com, cost about $100k
to develop. He used low-cost tools like MySQL and PHP,
and he uses sites like Facebook and Twitter (along with
his considerable personal blog and 'brand') as platforms
for promotion.
Further, for many web businesses the business model
is already more or less built in: get some traffic,
serve up Google ads, and then layer on a few other revenue
streams as your user base ramps. There is no need for
a marketing plan—assuming the team knows a bit
about SEO and social media. There is no need for a hiring
plan, since these ‘business projects’ can
be built and scaled with a small team of developers.
Critical for Everyone Else
However, for all other startups—i.e., any business
with an element of complexity to it—I would argue
that writing a business plan remains a very valuable
exercise, even in the digital world. It’s as simple
as this—drafting a business plan forces you to
think things through in advance—i.e., work out
a plan—before sinking your money, or
even more importantly, your time into something.
Granted, as founder of VentureArchetypes LLC (www.venturearchetypes.com)
I am not an unbiased observer in this debate. In fact,
I make a decent portion of my living helping startups
develop their business strategies, and we use the business
plan as the framework for this activity. It is a very
creative, logical, and process-driven approach to thinking
through the various elements that will make your business
a success.
From a high level view, here is a brief summary of
our approach:
Market Opportunity
We start with the big picture—identifying the
market opportunity, size of the addressable market,
and trends that can be exploited. Why is now the right
time to start this business? Timing can be everything,
and we want to make the case that the market and the
technological underpinnings are ready for your vision.
History books are filled with startups that got the
timing right—look at Skype, Facebook, and YouTube
as just a few of many examples. None were the first
in their category, nor were they the last—but
they nailed the timing.
There were numerous IP telephony companies before Skype,
and several video sharing attempts before YouTube, but
bandwidth limitations in the early days of the web were
serious constraints. In contrast, by the time Skype
and Youtube emerged, broadband was widespread and P2P
sharing technology had matured to the point where both
firms were able to deliver a quality user experience.
The same holds with Facebook— by the time FB launched,
consumers were accustomed to building online networks
of friends, and the scaling issues that had plagued
earlier attempts like Friendster had been (mostly) overcome.
Customer Needs
Once we’ve made a case for the market opportunity,
we drill down into our target customers—their
needs and pains, how they are solving problems today,
how they go about making purchasing decisions, etc.
Again, the list is long of companies that have been
able to truly get ‘inside the heads’ of
their constituents, and to deeply understand what they
want—eBay, Amazon, Google, and so forth.
Product Solution and Competitive Environment
Next we map out the company’s product roadmap,
and show our plans for attacking the problem by doing
something radically different that provides real value
to customers. This is where we paint the picture of
our big, audacious goals (note: investors love to back
game-changing technology companies, not ones who are
building a slightly better mousetrap). We plan out our
roadmap in the context of the competitive landscape;
a deep dive into the competition can often uncover both
pitfalls and new opportunities that can be exploited.
Launch and Operations
Next we get into our launch and operations plans—the
tactical, nitty-gritty details that explain what we
actually need to do to get to market and scale the company.
Are we outsourcing development to India, or building
everything in house? Are we buying a floor full of servers,
or hosting our service at Rackspace or 'in the cloud'
using Amazon Web Services? Particularly at the seed
or angel round, it’s important to show you have
more than just a good idea—you have a workable
launch plan and realistic expectations of how you will
(judiciously) spend their money.
Marketing and Sales
Next, we synch our launch strategy with a solid marketing
and sales plan. Here, we revisit our target customers
and figure out the best ways to reach them in a cost
effective manner. This topic calls for a good deal of
creativity, as it encompasses things like branding,
positioning, taglines, pricing and business model options.
It also touches on clever ways of getting press and
blogger coverage or on building viral hooks into the
product. Our goal here is to not only gain ‘buzz’
and mindshare in the market, but to convert awareness
into actual, paying sales. (To note, understanding the
sales cycle is often overlooked with new companies.)
Team and Hiring
We also spend a decent amount of time elaborating on
the “who” – who is on the team now
and what value do they bring, and who will be needed
to make this vision happen (in the form of a hiring
plan). This involves a fair bit of navel gazing, and
helps us both figure out our strengths, as well as identify
what human-capital gaps we need to fill.
Financials
Finally, we “tell the story in numbers”
by mapping out our costs and revenue sources in the
form of a financial forecast. This can be very insightful,
as it shows how much money we can potentially make,
and perhaps more importantly, how much it will cost
to get the business off the ground (aka net negative
cash flow until break even). A good model can help you
demonstrate credibility to investors—it shows
that you really understand the economics of your business.
Further, since it’s chronological, the model is
also a great tool for setting specific goals to keep
the business moving forward aggressively.
Now let’s recap the objections to drafting a
business plan:
* Investors never read them: This is a true
statement; most VCs will never actually sit down and
read your entire plan. At best, they may read the bios
and flip through a few sections. However, drafting a
plan forces you to think through the key elements of
your business that investors will drill you on—hard.
Further, the business plan is a great framework to lay
out your ideas, from which you can then condense the
“best stuff” into a very succinct pitch
deck and executive summary (which are two docs that
do get read, very closely). (Postscript: to see what
investors want to know, visit Seqouia Capital’s
web page on the business plan: http://www.sequoiacap.com/ideas/)
* Writing code is a better use of your time—aka
“it takes too long to write a plan”:
Apart from very basic and experimental ‘web projects’
described earlier, I would argue that the process of
drafting a plan is worth the effort—I’ve
seen the positive results time and time again. It gets
the founders aligned in the same direction, around a
common vision. It creates a roadmap for execution, ideally
with milestones for each team member-- i.e., by mapping
out what you’re going to do, it gives you a structure
to hold people accountable for doing it. This in turn
helps set expectations and responsibilities, and reduces
ambiguity—and in a startup, ambiguity = death.
Planning out your business just makes good economic
sense, too. After all, it’s a helluva lot cheaper
to think through your actions in advance, vs. wading
into the market without a compass and feeling your way
around—the 'ready, fire, aim' method. It can get
very expensive if you suddenly find you need to rewrite
a bunch of code or totally revise your marketing plan
because it was ill-conceived from the beginning. This
is how startup CEOs get fired by their VCs.
It's All About Process (and a short written
doc)
In a nutshell, writing a business plan—wait, let
me rephrase that—engaging in the process of developing
a business plan—is still a very valid and valuable
exercise for 99% of startups. It can save a lot of costs
and frustrations that result by doing things the hard
way, and a good plan doesn’t need to be exhaustive;
indeed, many of the best plans are 10 to 15 pages in
length, not a 50 page academic tome.
After all, a shorter business plan, by definition,
creates focus, which is always critical at resource-constrained
startups. A shorter plan is also easier to revise and
update as the business evolves-- we use the term 'living
document'-- which provides you with an ongoing tool
for managing your business and getting things done.
The Business Plan Is Dead; Long Live The Business Plan!
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